Snow expected to be no-show for weekend season opener

The opening of the ski season is here but with little snow and a warmer winter on the radar, the notion of strapping on the skis is still some time away.

The Queen's Birthday long weekend, which begins on Saturday, marks the opening of the season and there will be little snow and probably no skiing, says the Bureau of Meteorology and ski operators.

"There might be some potential for snow on the weekend, but not heavy falls," said Bureau senior forecaster Chris Godfred.

"We do have a decent cold front coming through on Saturday."

However, Mr Godfred said that according to the long-term forecast, the winter months in Victoria would be drier and warmer than usual – not good for snow.

"The chances of having a good ski season are lower than usual," he said.

"There's a lower than usual chance of having average or above average snow."

However, May's warm temperatures would not have any bearing on the season, he said.

"It doesn't really tell you what will happen in June, July or August," he said.

"We could get a good cold outbreak anytime. That could result in 30 or 40 centimetres being dumped and that sets up your season basically.

"It has happened in the past, where you don't get much snow in either May or June, but that's not necessarily a pointer to the whole season being bad."

Mr Godfred said a few centimetres could fall on Mt Buller and Mt Baw Baw this weekend, but Mt Hotham and Falls Creek would probably not get any snow as the wind direction was not favourable.

Snowmaking was unlikely as the weather was not cold enough, he said.

Poor opening weekends were not uncommon, said Mt Buller spokesman David McNamara.

"Realistically, it's unlikely we'll be skiing on opening weekend. But historically for us that's not unusual," he said.

"It's a matter of when it snows and not if."

Snowmaking could happen this weekend but it was not guaranteed, said Mr McNamara.

"We're hoping to turn on the guns but it really is a delicate science when it comes to that," he said.

"It's up to the temperature and we're keeping an eye on that."

In Melbourne, the four days from Friday through to Monday are all expected to have a top temperature of 16.

Saturday and Sunday will have a shower or two while Monday will be partly cloudy.