Airfares to rise as airlines battle EU carbon charge

Qantas has flagged that airfares to Europe will rise as a result of the European Union's plan to charge airlines for carbon emissions.

Europe's highest court gave unreserved backing yesterday to an EU law to charge airlines for carbon emissions on flights to and from Europe, a decision likely to escalate tension with trading partners, especially the United States.

The court ruled against a group of US airlines that had challenged a law requiring that all airlines flying to and from European Union airports will have to buy permits under the EU's emissions trading scheme from January 1. The initial cost is expected to be minimal but would rise to an estimated 9 billion euros ($A11.6 billion) by the end of 2020.

"Application of the emissions trading scheme to aviation infringes neither the principles of customary international law at issue, nor the open-skies agreement," the European Court of Justice (ECJ) said.

Qantas said the EU's "patchwork approach" was flawed, but its policy was to comply with carbon law wherever it operated. A spokesman said it was still finalising policy, but anticipated costs would be passed on to passengers.

"Anybody going to Europe is going to have to pay a higher fare."

Wednesday's ruling was expected after a senior adviser to the court issued a preliminary opinion in October that found the EU legislation did not infringe other states' sovereignty and was compatible with international accords.

EU Climate Commissioner Connie Hedegaard, for whom the carbon trading scheme is one of the main weapons to combat climate change, was among the first to welcome the decision.

"After a crystal-clear ruling today, the EU now expects U.S. airlines to respect EU law as the EU respects US law," she said in a Twitter posting.

"We reaffirm our wish to engage constructively with everyone during the implementation of our legislation," she added in a statement.


The US government, which has warned it could take "appropriate action" if the EU did not reconsider this aspect of the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS), said it was dismayed by the ruling, and reiterated that it wanted the issue addressed by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO).

"We continue to have strong legal and policy objections to the inclusion of flights by non-EU air carriers in the EU ETS," Krishna R. Urs, deputy assistant secretary for transportation affairs at the U.S. State Department, said in statement.

Airline associations reacted swiftly.

US airline industry body Airlines for America said it was reviewing its legal options, but meanwhile would "comply under protest".

"The US government and dozens of others around the world are increasing pressure on the EU to come back to the table to consider a global sectoral approach," it said in a statement.


A case against the EU was initially brought to the London High Court of Justice by the Air Transport Association of America, American Airlines and United Continental , but the London court referred it to the ECJ in Luxembourg.

Critics of the EU rules, agreed in June 2008, have argued that under the 1997 Kyoto climate pact, countries pledged to address aviation emissions jointly through the U.N.'s aviation body, the ICAO.

More than a decade on, talks at the ICAO have failed to yield significant progress, and the ECJ said the EU was within its rights to take unilateral action.

But the United States, where environmental legislation has become a focus of disagreement between Democrats and Republicans, has angrily rejected the EU plan.

Draft law in the US Congress, if passed, would make it illegal to comply with the EU legislation.

In a letter sent to EU officials last week, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and US Secretary of Transportation Raymond LaHood urged the EU "to reconsider this current course" and re-engage with the rest of the world.

"Absent such willingness on the part of the EU, we will be compelled to take appropriate action," they said in the letter.

Lawyers and some environmentalists said the next logical step would be for the ICAO to come up with a global solution soon.

"The EU's leadership is really significant. This is a first step. What we need now is a broad-based system from ICAO," Pamela Campos, an attorney at U.S. lobby group the Environmental Defense Fund, said.

The ruling by the ECJ, Europe's highest court, is final, although there is some flexibility in how the regulation may be applied.

The EU law allows for "equivalent measures", meaning that incoming flights to Europe would be exempt if the nation from whence they came had measures in place to offset the international emissions.

Airlines initially would be required to pay for only 15 per cent of the carbon they emit and would be allocated free allowances to cover the other 85 per cent.

From 2013 to 2020, airlines are expected to buy around 700 million permits, according to Thomson Reuters Point Carbon data.

"We expect the aviation sector's burden in the EU's emissions trading scheme for 2012 to be close to 500 million euros, based on our current price forecasts for 2012," Andreas Arvanitakis, associate director, Thomson Reuters Point Carbon, said in a statement.

"The sector will face a shortfall of around 60 million tonnes (of carbon). The cost rises to 9 billion euros total by the end of 2020."

The EU carbon market pared losses immediately after the ruling but stayed negative. Analysts said the decision had been widely anticipated but could provide support for the longer term as airlines stock up on permits.

Already, the EU sets a cap on the level of emissions allowed from factories and power plants. Emitters exceeding their quotas must buy carbon permits, while those within their limits can sell any unused allowances.

Emissions from most other sectors have fallen, but those from airlines have doubled since 1990 and could triple by 2020, figures show.


Depending on airlines' decisions on how much to pass on, the European Commission has calculated costs per passenger could rise by 2 to 12 euros, much less than the 100 euro per allowance penalty it would impose on airlines that do not comply.

Airlines, which have given much higher assessments of the cost, have called for a global, rather than piecemeal, approach. The EU has said it fully agrees with that but has run out of patience with efforts to find a worldwide solution.

"This decision represents a green light towards an emerging patchwork of complex, bureaucratic and punitive regional schemes, which will ultimately have no impact on improving the environment and will hit passengers," Carolyn Leung, a spokeswoman for Cathay Pacific Airways, said.

Singapore Airlines said the EU was being unfair.

"It could also cripple competitiveness as it offers carriers operating through hubs closer to Europe an unfair advantage," spokesman Nicholas Ionides said.

Meanwhile, customers are bracing for yet another line item to appear on their ticket charges.

"The airlines quite honestly just have to pass it on," said Jeff Kauffman, an analyst with Sterne Agee & Leach. "Anybody going to Europe is going to have to pay a higher fare."