There's never been a safer time to fly: 2016 set to be the safest year in aviation history

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There's never been a safer time to fly: 2016 set to be the safest year in aviation history

By Oliver Smith
Updated
It's never been a safer time to fly.

It's never been a safer time to fly.Credit: Alamy

The crash of LaMia Airlines Flight 2933 near the Colombian city of Medellín will do little to allay the fears of nervous fliers. But, though it will come as no consolation to the friends and families of the 71 who perished this week, 2016 is set to be one of the safest years in aviation history.

There has been a remarkably small number of air accidents this year - a testament to the stringent safety standards now in place around the world. Among 2016's other high-profile tragedies was EgyptAir Flight 804 from Paris to Cairo, which disappeared in the Mediterranean in May, killing all 66 on board, and Flydubai Flight 981, which crashed during an aborted landing in Russia with the loss of 62 lives.

See also: Is this really the world's worst airline?

According to the Aviation Safety Network, which keeps a database of all air travel incidents, there have been 16 fatal accidents in 2016, resulting in 272 deaths - down from 560 in 2015. Given that this year will see around 3.5 billion air passengers flown, that's just one death per 12,867,647 travellers (or one per 128,676 departures).

Only one year saw fewer deaths - 2013, with 265. But with 3.048 billion boarding a plane that year, according to the World Bank's data, this amounts to more deaths per passenger: one per 11,501,886. By this measurement, though there is a month to go, 2016 could well prove to be the safest ever year for air travel.

See also: World's best airline for 2016

When one discounts hijackings and sabotage, 2015 was actually safer. The crashes of a Germanwings A320 in March 2015, deliberately caused by co-pilot Andreas Lubitz, and a Metrojet A321 in October, due to a suspected bomb, accounted for the majority of last year's fatalities.

Last year also saw the fewest number of fatal crashes involving passenger aircraft - just seven. There has been 10 so far in 2016. The general trend, however - that air travel has never been safer - is easy to see.

But what of the deadliest year in aviation history? Surely 2014, which saw a string of disasters involving Malaysia Airlines (two crashes and 537 deaths), AirAsia (162 deaths), Air Algerie (116), TransAsia Airways (48) and Sepahan Airlines (39), must be a contender? The total for 2014 of 990 deaths was the highest for a decade, but some way off the record. For that, one must go back to 1972, which saw a remarkable 2,370 deaths and 72 fatal accidents. There were 11 crashes that saw at least 100 perish, including four Aeroflot flights, and others involving Iberia, Sterling Airways, Alitalia, British European Airways, Interflug, Spantax and Eastern Air Lines.

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Fearful fliers should be grateful the '70s are over. The following year, 1973, was the second deadliest on record, with 69 fatal crashes and 2,028 deaths. The carriers involved in the biggest disasters that year included Royal Jordanian, Libya Arab Airlines, Invicta International Airlines, Varig and Pan Am. And, of course, Aeroflot, which had a staggering 17 crashes that year.

And 1974 was the fourth deadliest year, with 1,989 fatalities from 68 crashes (eight involving Aeroflot). It should be noted that safety standards have improved drastically at the Russian airline since then - it hasn't been involved in a fatal accident since 1996.

During every year in the '70s, there were more than 1,000 deaths, making it comfortably the deadliest decade on record (16,766 - more than twice as many as during the 2000s).

Deaths per total number of passengers flown

2016* - one per 12,867,647
2013 - one per 11,501,886
2015 - one per 6,144,642
2012 - one per 6,079,831
2011 - one per 5,318,702
2008 - one per 3,755,102
2004 - one per 3,478,821
2014 - one per 3,253,791
2009 - one per 2,960,526
2007 - one per 2,803,299

*January 1-November 30

The Telegraph, London

See also: The best airlines across every class named

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